Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.351903 0.400406 0.455952 0.524900 0.609073 0.709668 0.840805
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.282122 0.345596 0.426436 0.539664 0.698848 0.922525 1.276416
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.233963 0.301275 0.393571 0.534845 0.756673 1.114069 1.791282
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.205414 0.275061 0.376370 0.543363 0.832329 1.361737 2.569962
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.177103 0.243414 0.343805 0.518088 0.841819 1.496748 3.244715
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.154643 0.216770 0.313743 0.489059 0.833882 1.592428 3.927012
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.138110 0.196908 0.291161 0.467803 0.833849 1.705721 4.808979
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.133276 0.194694 0.297009 0.499262 0.953219 2.182105 7.847007
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.132525 0.198846 0.314178 0.556559 1.155240 3.066236 16.087723
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128419 0.196715 0.319551 0.590766 1.316894 4.009257 32.353555
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.123180 0.191938 0.319125 0.612024 1.454193 5.054589 68.861469
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.116396 0.183655 0.310683 0.612661 1.530514 5.946317 142.631482
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106961 0.170153 0.291135 0.584878 1.512041 6.365017 256.445964
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100638 0.161974 0.281727 0.581564 1.582711 7.564936 979.037253
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094317 0.153238 0.270118 0.570267 1.621206 8.693720 8077.222604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.090149 0.148223 0.265786 0.577739 1.741181 11.016276 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083778 0.138409 0.249905 0.549736 1.697736 11.560743 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.077739 0.128834 0.233678 0.518117 1.626496 11.653282 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.072824 0.121169 0.221046 0.495076 1.587304 12.166538 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.072136 0.121836 0.227207 0.529109 1.845106 18.963701 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.072953 0.125603 0.241024 0.591279 2.321460 39.300706 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.072105 0.125843 0.246512 0.628494 2.707766 74.864295 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.070538 0.124428 0.247755 0.651658 3.037283 141.098909 NaN